🔬Science & Space
3 articles
Lunar Pessimism: Why the Market is Shorting Artemis III
Prediction markets have slashed the odds of a 2026 lunar landing to just 15% as technical hurdles for SpaceX and NASA mount.
Odds:Yes 15%No 85%
Alzheimer’s Pessimism: Why Prediction Markets See a 2026 Regulatory Drought
Traders are betting against a 2026 Alzheimer’s breakthrough, pricing an FDA approval at just 35% despite a surging clinical pipeline.
Odds:Yes 35%No 65%
The 65-Percent Solution: Why Markets Are Hedging on SpaceX’s Orbital Ambitions
Traders are wagering six figures on Starship reaching orbit by mid-2026, but a 65% probability suggests the smart money is still wary of the clock.
Odds:Yes 65%No 35%