🔬Science & Space
6 articles
Little Green Men Face A High Bar In DC
Nearly $28 million has been wagered on whether Washington will admit to finding extraterrestrials by 2027, but the odds favor the status quo.
Clavicular Inches Toward A Paternity Announcement
A massive $342,000 trading spike has pushed the probability of a Clavicular pregnancy announcement to 59%, signaling a shift in the rumor mill.
Washington Withholds The Truth About Other Worlds
Institutional skepticism dominates the extraterrestrial disclosure market as bettors weigh Congressional pressure against Pentagon silence.
Lunar Pessimism: Why the Market is Shorting Artemis III
Prediction markets have slashed the odds of a 2026 lunar landing to just 15% as technical hurdles for SpaceX and NASA mount.
Alzheimer’s Pessimism: Why Prediction Markets See a 2026 Regulatory Drought
Traders are betting against a 2026 Alzheimer’s breakthrough, pricing an FDA approval at just 35% despite a surging clinical pipeline.
The 65-Percent Solution: Why Markets Are Hedging on SpaceX’s Orbital Ambitions
Traders are wagering six figures on Starship reaching orbit by mid-2026, but a 65% probability suggests the smart money is still wary of the clock.