Polymarket Radar

Crypto & Web3

11 articles

Image for Michael Saylor Faces A Growing Crowd Of Skeptics
Crypto & Web3May 16, 20264 min read

Michael Saylor Faces A Growing Crowd Of Skeptics

Despite a public commitment to never sell, traders are pricing in a majority chance that MicroStrategy liquidates part of its Bitcoin treasury by 2026.

Odds:Yes 56%No 44%
Image for Crypto Optimism Evaporates Before The May Deadline
Crypto & Web3May 11, 20264 min read

Crypto Optimism Evaporates Before The May Deadline

A surge in bearish sentiment pushes Bitcoin's chances of a mid-May gain down to a mere twenty-six percent.

Odds:Yes 26%No 74%
Image for MicroStrategy Rejects The Exit Ramp
Crypto & Web3May 6, 20264 min read

MicroStrategy Rejects The Exit Ramp

Predictors see a 73% chance Michael Saylor maintains his Bitcoin hoard through 2026 despite the pressures of a $4 billion debt load.

Odds:Yes 27%No 73%
Image for MegaETH Expectations Retreat From High Valuation Targets
Crypto & Web3Apr 30, 20264 min read

MegaETH Expectations Retreat From High Valuation Targets

High trading volume signals deep institutional skepticism as the real-time blockchain project faces a steep climb to a two billion dollar debut.

Odds:Yes 18%No 82%
Image for Bitcoin Bulls Find The Ceiling Near Record Highs
Crypto & Web3Apr 25, 20264 min read

Bitcoin Bulls Find The Ceiling Near Record Highs

A $6 million liquidity pool suggests that despite the institutional hype, the path to eighty thousand remains steep and slippery.

Odds:Yes 41%No 59%
Image for The Halving Hype Meets A Reality Check
Crypto & Web3Apr 20, 20264 min read

The Halving Hype Meets A Reality Check

Bitcoin faces a steep climb to eighty thousand as prediction volume surges and conviction wavers ahead of the halving.

Odds:Yes 33%No 67%
Image for Betting on the Phoenix: Backpack’s $200 Million Valuation Hurdle
Crypto & Web3Mar 23, 20263 min read

Betting on the Phoenix: Backpack’s $200 Million Valuation Hurdle

Traders are pricing an 81% probability that Backpack's token will debut above a $200 million valuation, reflecting a high-conviction bet on the Solana ecosystem.

Odds:Yes 81%No 19%
Image for The $65,000 Pivot: Why Bitcoin’s March Madness is Priced as a Coin Flip
Crypto & Web3Mar 22, 20264 min read

The $65,000 Pivot: Why Bitcoin’s March Madness is Priced as a Coin Flip

Traders are betting millions on whether Bitcoin will touch $65,000 this month, with odds currently favoring a brief dip into the mid-sixties.

Odds:Yes 53%No 47%
Image for The Four-Thousand Dollar Delusion: Why Ethereum’s March Is a Non-Starter
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20264 min read

The Four-Thousand Dollar Delusion: Why Ethereum’s March Is a Non-Starter

Prediction markets have priced a March rally to $4,000 at a dismal 2%, signaling a profound lack of confidence in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

Odds:Yes 2%No 98%
Image for The Greenland Premium: Betting on the Ultimate Real Estate Play
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20263 min read

The Greenland Premium: Betting on the Ultimate Real Estate Play

Traders have wagered $30 million on whether the U.S. will acquire Greenland, pricing the prospect of a 21st-century Manifest Destiny at a skeptical 9%.

Odds:Yes 9%No 91%
Image for Northern Exposure: Prediction Markets Price in a Lebanese Ground War
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20264 min read

Northern Exposure: Prediction Markets Price in a Lebanese Ground War

With over $4.2 million wagered, bettors give a 64% probability that the IDF will launch a major ground offensive into Lebanon by March 2026.

Odds:Yes 64%No 36%