Polymarket Radar

Crypto & Web3

5 articles

Image for Betting on the Phoenix: Backpack’s $200 Million Valuation Hurdle
Crypto & Web3Mar 23, 20263 min read

Betting on the Phoenix: Backpack’s $200 Million Valuation Hurdle

Traders are pricing an 81% probability that Backpack's token will debut above a $200 million valuation, reflecting a high-conviction bet on the Solana ecosystem.

Odds:Yes 81%No 19%
Image for The $65,000 Pivot: Why Bitcoin’s March Madness is Priced as a Coin Flip
Crypto & Web3Mar 22, 20264 min read

The $65,000 Pivot: Why Bitcoin’s March Madness is Priced as a Coin Flip

Traders are betting millions on whether Bitcoin will touch $65,000 this month, with odds currently favoring a brief dip into the mid-sixties.

Odds:Yes 53%No 47%
Image for The Four-Thousand Dollar Delusion: Why Ethereum’s March Is a Non-Starter
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20264 min read

The Four-Thousand Dollar Delusion: Why Ethereum’s March Is a Non-Starter

Prediction markets have priced a March rally to $4,000 at a dismal 2%, signaling a profound lack of confidence in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

Odds:Yes 2%No 98%
Image for The Greenland Premium: Betting on the Ultimate Real Estate Play
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20263 min read

The Greenland Premium: Betting on the Ultimate Real Estate Play

Traders have wagered $30 million on whether the U.S. will acquire Greenland, pricing the prospect of a 21st-century Manifest Destiny at a skeptical 9%.

Odds:Yes 9%No 91%
Image for Northern Exposure: Prediction Markets Price in a Lebanese Ground War
Crypto & Web3Mar 15, 20264 min read

Northern Exposure: Prediction Markets Price in a Lebanese Ground War

With over $4.2 million wagered, bettors give a 64% probability that the IDF will launch a major ground offensive into Lebanon by March 2026.

Odds:Yes 64%No 36%